Global trade war does not diminish pressure on Russia to end its war

Moscow finds itself at the periphery of high-intensity political interactions focused on a geo-economic power struggle, but it is not spared the consequences of escalating tensions and multiple disruptions to the global economic order. The Russian war machine is poised to experience numerous indirect effects, and the economic deformities caused by the prolonged war of attrition are likely to be exacerbated. Putin’s determination to keep the high-casualty hostilities going is clashing not only with Trump’s desire to stop the fighting but also with the broad international consensus on the imperative to bring the war to an end and with the growing war tiredness in Russia. He may persist with the war-making course, but his calculus of time available for withstanding various pressures may be suddenly proven wrong by the fast-moving global disorder.