Russia's three counter-terrorist fronts A major factor behind Moscow's successes in its war against terro is luck, often unusually lasting. It is entirely possible that Putin's luck will change during the last months of his term; it is perhaps more useful, however, to examine the things that can go wrong even if his lucky run continues.
Baev, Pavel K. (2006) Has Russia Achieved a Victory in its War against Terror?. PONARS Memo 415. Washington, DC.