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PRIO Blogs


Russia Refuses to Make Meaningful Step on Road to Peace

U.S., European, and Ukrainian peace-making policies are now aligned at a possible breakthrough point, as differences in means and methods transmute into complementarities. This fast evolution starkly contrasts with the immobility of Russia’s posit...

Monday, 10 Mar 2025


Norwegian research foundations develop new technology for studying war crimes against Ukraine

PRIO and NORSAR, both Norway-based research foundations, today announced a joint effort to use cutting-edge sensor technology for uncovering and analysing war crimes in Ukraine.

PRIO Blogs


Triumphalism in Moscow About Setback in Peace-Making for Ukraine Could be Short-Lived

Moscow’s mouthpieces competed to celebrate and ridicule the individuals involved in the February 28 talks in Washington, D.C. between Ukraine and the United States. To the surprise of many, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy left the White Ho...

PRIO Blogs


American Democracy is in Danger, but Not Dead

Trump and his supporters are undermining American democracy, posing a real threat of democratic breakdown. The consequences would be dramatic, extending far beyond the United States. However, there is still a good chance that democracy, in the end...

Wednesday, 26 Feb 2025


New Results from Prediction Challenge That Seeks to Improve Conflict Forecasting

The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge invites researchers to forecast conflict intensity as a probability distribution, fully accounting for uncertainty to improve decision-making and crisis preparedness.

PRIO Blogs


Moscow Changes War Rhetoric but Stays War Course

The whirlwind of U.S.-initiated diplomatic activity in the last two weeks has compelled the Kremlin to alter the tone of its messaging on confrontation with the West and even the substance of its far-reaching propaganda campaign. The cliché of “An...

Thursday, 13 Feb 2025


Call for PhD-level course International Mediation: Theory, Cases and Skills

On 23-27 June PRIO, in collaboration with the Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies, will host the PhD level course International Mediation: Theory, Cases and Skills. Apply by 12 March 2025.

PRIO Blogs


Moscow Seeks to Regain Initiative in the Game of Peace Talks

Jubilation in Moscow after the phone conversation between Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump on February 12 has given way to contemplations of the consequences and even to confusion caused by the barrage of statements...

PRIO Blogs


Conversations on Ending the War in Ukraine Grow Louder and Emptier

The first week of the “Golden Age” of U.S. policy announced by President Donald Trump registered a stream of messages from the White House on the need to bring the war in Ukraine to an end (White House, January 20). The Kremlin duly responded with...

PRIO Blogs


Moscow Sticks to Peace Denials Despite War Exhaustion

The Russian offensive in Donbas has slowed in the last few weeks to a crawl, and in the Kursk oblast, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s order to expel the Ukrainian forces remains unfulfilled. This deadlock, in which both sides suffer heavy casua...

Popular Article


Moscow sticks to peace denials despite war exhaustion

Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor

PRIO Blogs


This Is What Norwegians Think About Emergency Alerts on Mobile Phones

The mobile phone has become an indispensable part of our daily lives. We carry it with us everywhere, and it’s a crisis when it’s lost. Now it has also taken on a new role: alerting us to emergencies. On Wednesday, January 8, emergency...

PRIO Blogs


An Untested Refugee Theory

From late January 2025, the Israeli ban on the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA) will come into effect. What does this mean for the rights of the Palestinian refugees, and who will then take responsibility for h...

PRIO Blogs


Escalation Management: Putin-style, Ukraine-challenged, and NATO-pursued

Russian missile strike on the sprawling industrial complex in Dnipro on November 21 produced far more strategic resonance than material damage – and has reopened hard questions about the constant mutation of the long Russia-Ukraine war and the met...

Journal Article


The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature

Journal article in World Development

PRIO Blogs


Putin’s ‘Three Escalations’ Affect Prospect of Peace in Ukraine

Russia’s strategy in executing its aggressive war against Ukraine, passing the 1,000-day mark last week, puts the country’s economy, society, and armed forces under enormous pressure that Moscow’s militaristic propaganda cannot quite cover. As Rus...

PRIO Blogs


Protection of Civilians in Crisis: Geneva Conventions at 75

With the devastating news from Ukraine, Gaza and Sudan among other wars, we witness a crisis of the international regime for protecting civilians in armed conflict. However, this is not a total collapse but a return to the troubling world that the...

PRIO Blogs


Perplexed Vladimir Putin Reckons With Outcome of US Elections

The Kremlin had confidently expected confusion and turmoil following the US presidential election. Instead, a definite outcome and the commitment to a smooth transition of power are set to shape the US political environment for the next couple of ...

PRIO Blogs


Israel Has Escalated Its Shadow War Against UNRWA. What Happens Now?

On 4 November, the Israeli Foreign Ministry cancelled the agreement the country signed with UNRWA in 1967. A week earlier, the Knesset had passed legislation banning UNRWA from operating in Israel and the occupied Palestinian territories. Why is I...

PRIO Blogs


Putin and Kim Look for Opportunities Amid US Elections Turmoil

The US presidential election, which has been dominating the global news, will come to its natural culmination on November 5, even if the outcome remains uncertain for many more days. Even in Russia, where war and inflation are major concerns, offi...

Popular Article


Putin's much ado about the BRICS summit

Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor

PRIO Blogs


Putin’s Much Ado About the BRICS Summit

The BRICS summit on October 22–24, held in Kazan, Russia, was met with great fanfare in Russian propaganda, which hailed it for its “epochal” significance. The BRICS summit, held in Kazan, was met with great fanfare in Russian propaganda. Propagan...

PRIO Blogs


No Shortcut to Hard Road to Peace in Ukraine

As Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine approaches its 33rd month, no drastic changes are expected on the battlefield. Ukraine has intensified its behind-the-scenes multilateral political maneuvering, as evidenced by Ukrainian President Volodym...

PRIO Blogs


Unwinnable Wars, Risks of Escalation, and the Nuclear Taboo

The announcement of the Nobel Peace Prize on October 11 coincided with a dangerous phase in two long wars — Israel’s war against Hamas and Hezbollah and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine — that are both poised for escalation. This ...

PRIO Blogs


Putin’s Nuclear Blackmail Goes Doctrinal

Russian President Vladimir Putin announced neither surprising nor radical revisions in Russia’s nuclear doctrine on September 25 (Kremlin.ru, September 25). He committed to revising the government’s vague document back in June. In the ensuing mont...

PRIO Blogs


Moscow Takes the Measure of Western Vacillations

Since the start of Russia’s war against Ukraine, the US-led Western coalition has demonstrated remarkable determination in supporting Kyiv. Yet, every practical step in providing military support to defiant Ukraine has involved protracted delibera...

PRIO Blogs


Putin Puts Forth Resolute Indifference to Kursk Debacle

The impact of Ukraine’s August 6 offensive operation into Kursk oblast remains an open strategic question following four weeks of increasingly intense and fluid fighting (see EDM, August 14, 15). Russian President Vladimir Putin’s first reaction t...

PRIO Blogs


Victory for the Civilian Uprising in Bangladesh: What is Next for the ‘Second Independence’?

It was an unprecedented and historic moment that unfolded in Bangladesh on 5 August 2024 when Prime Minister Sheik Hasina hastily fled the country in a military helicopter. The protesters had demonstrated in the streets for several weeks, and that...

PRIO Blogs


Prisoner Exchanges and the Prospects for Peace Talks

The timing of the unprecedented exchange of prisoners between Russia and the West on August 1 remains a difficult question. The final decision was most likely made in the Kremlin. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s red carpet reception of the rele...

PRIO Blogs


Russian Intrigues in Middle East Surge

On July 24, Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad was summoned to Moscow for a secret meeting in the Kremlin with Russian President Vladimir Putin, the same day that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed a joint session of the US Congress....

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