PRIO Report
From Isolation to Imitation: The “Dubaization” of North Cyprus and the New Demography of a De Facto State
PRIO Cyprus Centre Report
Wednesday, 25 Jun 2025
Reimagining Humanitarianism. Special issue on relational accountability in locally-led crisis response
The special issue examines the transformative potential of centering communitarian practices, including mutual assistance networks, relational support systems, and local accountability frameworks, in order to rethink humanitarian action from the g...
Journal Article
Discussions on locally-led humanitarian assistance amongst European INGOs and donors — shifting practices or challenging mental models?
Journal article in Fennia
Policy Brief
Beyond a Comprehensive Settlement in Cyprus: CBMs and the Reinstatement of Maronite and Buffer Zone Villages
PRIO Cyprus Centre Policy Brief
The US nuclear umbrella over Europe was a myth
Is it possible to imagine that one state would risk its own destruction in defence of another state?
The asylum paradox – yes. But what now?
Stating that the asylum system in Europe is dysfunctional, is hardly a novelty. It’s even been described as contributing to what has been referred to as an “asylum paradox.”
Journal Article
Armed conflict and birthweight: The role of organized violence and anti-coca fumigation in Colombia
Journal article in Social Science & Medicine
Putin holds firm to war course, conjuring mirage of victory
The fever of diplomatic battles around Russia’s war against Ukraine in the first three weeks of May has broken, leaving few meaningful results.
Peace research is not defense research: Time to insist on tougher questions
It requires greater engagement from us as a peace research community to show why peace itself is important — indeed, the most important — public good of our time.
Russia’s maximalist demands undermine peace talks despite mounting domestic strains
The key goal of the most recent round of talks between Russia and Ukraine, held on Monday, June 2, in Istanbul, is supposed to be an exchange of memoranda on the conditions for ending the war.
Journal Article
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Journal Article
Discourse and Norms along China’s Digital Silk Road
Journal article in Asia Policy
The Hype, Delusions and Risks of the Arctic Geopolitics
The surge of political attention to the Arctic may appear counter-intuitive to the experts overtaxed with assessing the consequences of the global trade war, perplexed by the deadlock of the Ukraine War, and frustrated by the deepening indifferenc...
Russia May be Switching Tactics From Sabotage of Peace Deal to Bargaining
On April 28, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a three-day ceasefire in his war against Ukraine in the lead-up to the commemoration of the 80th anniversary of the Second World War (President of Russia, April 28). The ceasefire is due to b...
Africa in the Global Disorder of Trumpism
Africa is not a homogeneous entity. Unlike the United States or China, it does not have a unified political power capable of defending a common interest.
The Transatlantic Rift in the Global Disorder of Trumpism
We are currently experiencing a transitional phase between the world order established after 1945 and a new, yet undefined global order.
Putin’s Warpath Goes Through Arctic
Russia’s war against Ukraine is stuck in a rigid deadlock. The prospect of agreeing on a ceasefire, which had appeared within reach a couple of weeks ago, has, however, become distant and blurred.
There’s a Path Forward for Turkey-Greece Cooperation — but It Requires a Dose of Realism
In the Eastern Mediterranean, tensions are largely the norm rather than the exception. Greece and Turkey, two stable states and NATO allies, enjoy largely peaceful unneighborly relations, despite occasional tension between them.
American Democracy is in Danger, but Not Dead
Trump and his supporters are undermining American democracy, posing a real threat of democratic breakdown. The consequences would be dramatic, extending far beyond the United States. However, there is still a good chance that democracy, in the end...
Wednesday, 26 Feb 2025
New Results from Prediction Challenge That Seeks to Improve Conflict Forecasting
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge invites researchers to forecast conflict intensity as a probability distribution, fully accounting for uncertainty to improve decision-making and crisis preparedness.
Wednesday, 12 Feb 2025
JPR Journal Article of the Year 2024 Awarded to Melanie Sauter
Melanie Sauter has been awarded the Nils Petter Gleditsch Article of the Year Award for her journal article entitled ‘Politicized health emergencies and violent resistance against healthcare responders.’
Journal Article
Pandemic Financing Should Learn From Revolving Funds
Journal article in The Lancet
Tuesday, 10 Dec 2024
Virtual book launch of 'From uncertainty to policy: A guide to migration scenarios' on International Migrants Day
Can migration be forecasted in today's unpredictable world? How can policymakers and scholars navigate inherent uncertainty, with robust and realistic models?
Escalation Management: Putin-style, Ukraine-challenged, and NATO-pursued
Russian missile strike on the sprawling industrial complex in Dnipro on November 21 produced far more strategic resonance than material damage – and has reopened hard questions about the constant mutation of the long Russia-Ukraine war and the met...
Putin’s ‘Three Escalations’ Affect Prospect of Peace in Ukraine
Russia’s strategy in executing its aggressive war against Ukraine, passing the 1,000-day mark last week, puts the country’s economy, society, and armed forces under enormous pressure that Moscow’s militaristic propaganda cannot quite cover. As Rus...
Perplexed Vladimir Putin Reckons With Outcome of US Elections
The Kremlin had confidently expected confusion and turmoil following the US presidential election. Instead, a definite outcome and the commitment to a smooth transition of power are set to shape the US political environment for the next couple of ...
473 million Children Live in Conflict Zones
The world is suffering from escalating levels of conflict. The Civil war in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the bombing of Gaza have all significantly contributed to dramatic increase in battle deaths in recent years...
Civil Society Participation in International Criminal Justice
The International Criminal Court (ICC) is in trouble. To commentators and observers of the Court, one crisis seems to lead on to the next, so that the field of international criminal justice has been described as being in ‘perpetual crisis’. Follo...
Thursday, 3 Oct 2024
Nobel Peace Prize 2024: PRIO Director’s Updated List Announced
The Director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO), Henrik Urdal, announced his updated list for the 2024 Nobel Peace Prize today, with election observers topping the list.
The Silent Winner of Myanmar’s Northern Conflict
From the chaos of the conflict in Shan State, the United Wa State Army has emerged as a potentially decisive force. On the morning of July 28, a convoy of soldiers from the United Wa State Army (UWSA) drove through Lashio, the capital of the north...