Predicting conflict fatalities with temporal fusion transformers
Introducing a performant, yet interpretable deep learning algorithm for conflict forecasting.
China isn’t winning the digital order – yet
In Southeast Asia, Beijing is building the digital infrastructure, but not (yet) writing the rules.
Escalation and the size of wars
The war in Ukraine underscores the severe human impact and economic consequences of large wars, but there has been remarkably little attention to why wars differ so much in severity in the first place.
Is Europe up to Putin’s challenge – and vice versa?
For Europe, the challenge may no longer be only to deter Russia, but also to overcome the internal divisions that Russia seeks to exploit.
Yes, we must create jobs, but not to prevent migration
An objective of curbing migration pressure is a poor guide for development policy.
Popular Article
Tre myter og en begrensning om likestilling og totalforsvar
Popular article in Forsvarets forum
The Ukraine War takes new turns in the Black Sea theatre
Wars of attrition are supposed to be static and predictable, but the Ukraine War definitely departs from this pattern. Its transformation is constant, and during this summer, new surprises have come, delivered primarily by Ukraine, which puts prio...
How to make sense of the new world disorder
With two ongoing regional wars, a crumbling humanitarian architecture and a number of smaller, often ignored, crises, it is tempting to pronounce an end to the liberal international order as we have known it since the end of the Cold War. But is t...
Conference Paper
Niñas, niños y jóvenes en la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz Reconocimiento, participación y beneficios en la Colombia del posacuerdo (2016–prese...
Conference paper
Thursday, 2 Jul 2026
Satellites for Peace: An idea whose time has come
The idea that satellites can help build peace is no longer a distant vision. In July, PRIO convened leading voices from the humanitarian, diplomatic, scientific and space communities for the conference "Satellites for Peace: An idea whose time has...
Journal Article
Etter Assad-regimets fall: Hva skjer med flyktningene?
Journal article in Internasjonal Politikk
Shadow of Anchorage no-deal looms over Ukraine peace no-talks
The long-deadlocked Ukraine war has from the start of 2026 changed quite drastically in the tactical, strategic and geopolitical dimensions, but has remained immobile on the diplomatic track.
Popular Article
Har «våpenhvile» lenger noen reell betydning?
Popular article in Aftenposten
Do we need peace research when Norway is threatened by war?
War once again threatens Norway’s security. One might ask what we need peace research for at this moment.
Norwegian peace diplomacy - is it facilitation or mediation? And why this matters.
It is a tradition in Norwegian peace diplomacy to say they are “only facilitators”, and theories on mediation are seen as of little relevance.
How the G7 can reset global finance
When G7 leaders arrive in Evian-les-Bains this month, France will host more than another summit. It will host a test of whether rich-country coordination can still solve problems that no country can manage alone.
SPIEF’26 highlighted Russia’s growing economic troubles
Russia’s business elites went through the motions of demonstrating loyalty to Putin by attending SPIEF’26 amid mounting economic and security challenges.
Thursday, 28 May 2026
Norwegian security in transition: PRIO contributes to Security Forum South 2026
Norwegian security is undergoing profound change—from diversifying strategic partnerships to reorganising local preparedness. This was the focus of the 2026 Security Forum South.
The war in the shadow of Iran
While global attention is focused on the Iran conflict, the war between Pakistan and Afghanistan continues.
The Gaza effect
Following the war in Gaza, killings of journalists and UN staff have become part of Israel's modus operandi. If we allow these actions to continue, we risk them becoming a model for others.
Thursday, 30 Apr 2026
PRIO participates in 5-year exhibition on peace at the Nobel Peace Centre
PRIO’s Cindy Horst and Greta Glas are on the advisory board for the 5-year exhibition series on peace at the Nobel Peace Centre. The first exhibition opened on 23 April and is called Paths to Peace.
Popular Article
Gaza-effekten
Popular article in Panorama
Tuesday, 21 Apr 2026
Applications open for the 2026 Barcelona Summer School of the Mediterranean and the Middle East
The Barcelona Summer School of the Mediterranean and the Middle East is a joint initiative co-organized by IBEI, Catalonia International and IEMed.
Monday, 13 Apr 2026
PRIO researcher Hilde Henriksen Waage awarded the 2026 Fritt Ord Prize
Historian and PRIO Research Professor Hilde Henriksen Waage has been awarded the 2026 Freedom of Expression Prize by the Fritt Ord Foundation, in recognition of her decades-long commitment to critical, research-based inquiry and public debate.
Attacks on education cause lifelong harm
The recent bombing of a girls’ school in Iran, killing at least 165 schoolgirls, is a stark reminder of how brutally war affects children.
As Hungary rejoices, Moscow keeps counting down its comrades and clients
The crushing defeat of Viktor Orban’s seemingly entrenched and deeply corrupt political regime in Hungary signifies a massive setback for Russia’s foreign policy.
It’s time for academics to take community action on AI
The situation is critical – Academic publishing urgently needs life support.
Lebanon in the crossfire: Ten key points about the impact of the US-Israeli war on Iran
Lebanese resilience is being tested in a population worn down by conflict, once again caught in the crossfire of regional rivalries.
Conference Paper
Kjønn som geopolitisk kamparena i en multipolar verden
Conference paper
Conference Paper
Kjønn som geopolitisk kamparena i en multipolar verden
Conference paper