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Predicting conflict fatalities with temporal fusion transformers

Introducing a performant, yet interpretable deep learning algorithm for conflict forecasting.

China isn’t winning the digital order – yet

In Southeast Asia, Beijing is building the digital infrastructure, but not (yet) writing the rules.

Escalation and the size of wars

The war in Ukraine underscores the severe human impact and economic consequences of large wars, but there has been remarkably little attention to why wars differ so much in severity in the first place.

Is Europe up to Putin’s challenge – and vice versa?

For Europe, the challenge may no longer be only to deter Russia, but also to overcome the internal divisions that Russia seeks to exploit.

Yes, we must create jobs, but not to prevent migration

An objective of curbing migration pressure is a poor guide for development policy.

Popular Article


Tre myter og en begrensning om likestilling og totalforsvar

Popular article in Forsvarets forum

The Ukraine War takes new turns in the Black Sea theatre

Wars of attrition are supposed to be static and predictable, but the Ukraine War definitely departs from this pattern. Its transformation is constant, and during this summer, new surprises have come, delivered primarily by Ukraine, which puts prio...

How to make sense of the new world disorder

With two ongoing regional wars, a crumbling humanitarian architecture and a number of smaller, often ignored, crises, it is tempting to pronounce an end to the liberal international order as we have known it since the end of the Cold War. But is t...

Conference Paper


Niñas, niños y jóvenes en la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz Reconocimiento, participación y beneficios en la Colombia del posacuerdo (2016–prese...

Conference paper

Thursday, 2 Jul 2026


Satellites for Peace: An idea whose time has come

The idea that satellites can help build peace is no longer a distant vision. In July, PRIO convened leading voices from the humanitarian, diplomatic, scientific and space communities for the conference "Satellites for Peace: An idea whose time has...

Journal Article


Etter Assad-regimets fall: Hva skjer med flyktningene?

Journal article in Internasjonal Politikk

Shadow of Anchorage no-deal looms over Ukraine peace no-talks

The long-deadlocked Ukraine war has from the start of 2026 changed quite drastically in the tactical, strategic and geopolitical dimensions, but has remained immobile on the diplomatic track.

Popular Article


Har «våpenhvile» lenger noen reell betydning?

Popular article in Aftenposten

Do we need peace research when Norway is threatened by war?

War once again threatens Norway’s security. One might ask what we need peace research for at this moment.

Norwegian peace diplomacy - is it facilitation or mediation? And why this matters.

It is a tradition in Norwegian peace diplomacy to say they are “only facilitators”, and theories on mediation are seen as of little relevance.

How the G7 can reset global finance

When G7 leaders arrive in Evian-les-Bains this month, France will host more than another summit. It will host a test of whether rich-country coordination can still solve problems that no country can manage alone.

SPIEF’26 highlighted Russia’s growing economic troubles

Russia’s business elites went through the motions of demonstrating loyalty to Putin by attending SPIEF’26 amid mounting economic and security challenges.

Thursday, 28 May 2026


Norwegian security in transition: PRIO contributes to Security Forum South 2026

Norwegian security is undergoing profound change—from diversifying strategic partnerships to reorganising local preparedness. This was the focus of the 2026 Security Forum South.

The war in the shadow of Iran

While global attention is focused on the Iran conflict, the war between Pakistan and Afghanistan continues.

The Gaza effect

Following the war in Gaza, killings of journalists and UN staff have become part of Israel's modus operandi. If we allow these actions to continue, we risk them becoming a model for others.

Thursday, 30 Apr 2026


PRIO participates in 5-year exhibition on peace at the Nobel Peace Centre

PRIO’s Cindy Horst and Greta Glas are on the advisory board for the 5-year exhibition series on peace at the Nobel Peace Centre. The first exhibition opened on 23 April and is called Paths to Peace.

Popular Article


Gaza-effekten

Popular article in Panorama

Tuesday, 21 Apr 2026


Applications open for the 2026 Barcelona Summer School of the Mediterranean and the Middle East

The Barcelona Summer School of the Mediterranean and the Middle East is a joint initiative co-organized by IBEI, Catalonia International and IEMed.

Monday, 13 Apr 2026


PRIO researcher Hilde Henriksen Waage awarded the 2026 Fritt Ord Prize

Historian and PRIO Research Professor Hilde Henriksen Waage has been awarded the 2026 Freedom of Expression Prize by the Fritt Ord Foundation, in recognition of her decades-long commitment to critical, research-based inquiry and public debate.

Attacks on education cause lifelong harm

The recent bombing of a girls’ school in Iran, killing at least 165 schoolgirls, is a stark reminder of how brutally war affects children.

As Hungary rejoices, Moscow keeps counting down its comrades and clients

The crushing defeat of Viktor Orban’s seemingly entrenched and deeply corrupt political regime in Hungary signifies a massive setback for Russia’s foreign policy.

It’s time for academics to take community action on AI

The situation is critical – Academic publishing urgently needs life support.

Lebanon in the crossfire: Ten key points about the impact of the US-Israeli war on Iran

Lebanese resilience is being tested in a population worn down by conflict, once again caught in the crossfire of regional rivalries.

Conference Paper


Kjønn som geopolitisk kamparena i en multipolar verden

Conference paper

Conference Paper


Kjønn som geopolitisk kamparena i en multipolar verden

Conference paper

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