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Wednesday, 26 Feb 2025


New Results from Prediction Challenge That Seeks to Improve Conflict Forecasting

The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge invites researchers to forecast conflict intensity as a probability distribution, fully accounting for uncertainty to improve decision-making and crisis preparedness.

Wednesday, 5 Feb 2025


Nina Græger Appointed as New Director of PRIO

PRIO is pleased to announce the appointment of Nina Græger as its next Director, effective 1 July 2025.

Tuesday, 28 Jan 2025


PRIO Director's 2025 Nobel Peace Prize List

The Director of PRIO, Henrik Urdal, announced his list today for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, with Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms topping the list.

Popular Article


Moscow sticks to peace denials despite war exhaustion

Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor

PRIO Blogs


Moscow Sticks to Peace Denials Despite War Exhaustion

The Russian offensive in Donbas has slowed in the last few weeks to a crawl, and in the Kursk oblast, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s order to expel the Ukrainian forces remains unfulfilled. This deadlock, in which both sides suffer heavy casua...

Monday, 6 Jan 2025


Apply now: PRIO Peace Research Course at the International Summer School

The PRIO Peace Research Course at the International Summer School is now opening for students to apply for places for the 2025 programme.

PRIO Blogs


This Is What Norwegians Think About Emergency Alerts on Mobile Phones

The mobile phone has become an indispensable part of our daily lives. We carry it with us everywhere, and it’s a crisis when it’s lost. Now it has also taken on a new role: alerting us to emergencies. On Wednesday, January 8, emergency...

PRIO Blogs


Israel Has Escalated Its Shadow War Against UNRWA. What Happens Now?

On 4 November, the Israeli Foreign Ministry cancelled the agreement the country signed with UNRWA in 1967. A week earlier, the Knesset had passed legislation banning UNRWA from operating in Israel and the occupied Palestinian territories. Why is I...

PRIO Blogs


Perplexed Vladimir Putin Reckons With Outcome of US Elections

The Kremlin had confidently expected confusion and turmoil following the US presidential election. Instead, a definite outcome and the commitment to a smooth transition of power are set to shape the US political environment for the next couple of ...

PRIO Blogs


The Zelensky 'Victory Plan' That Evaporated

Is the Ukrainian president weakened? Sir Michael Howard, one of the most renowned war historians of all time, often pointed out that wars were lost or won as a result of events that took place far from the front lines. The past weeks have powerful...

PRIO Blogs


Moscow Takes the Measure of Western Vacillations

Since the start of Russia’s war against Ukraine, the US-led Western coalition has demonstrated remarkable determination in supporting Kyiv. Yet, every practical step in providing military support to defiant Ukraine has involved protracted delibera...

PRIO Blogs


Anti-Globalist Alliances?

The far right and far left have partly overlapping views on issues of global economic cooperation. Why don’t they unite? “We have moved from ‘we the workers’ to ‘we the French,’” said the French sociologist Didier Eribon to Libération recent...

PRIO Blogs


The Silent Winner of Myanmar’s Northern Conflict

From the chaos of the conflict in Shan State, the United Wa State Army has emerged as a potentially decisive force. On the morning of July 28, a convoy of soldiers from the United Wa State Army (UWSA) drove through Lashio, the capital of the north...

Friday, 6 Sep 2024


Call for papers - Life and migration: Decentering migration from the life aspirations of (potential) migrants

We invite abstracts for a panel at the IMISCOE Annual Conference, Paris, 1-4 July 2025. The panel aims to offer new insights across theoretical lenses, methodological approaches and geographical contexts. Deadline 23 September 2024.

Thursday, 8 Aug 2024


Great Fear Among Norwegians of World War, Survey Shows

In a survey carried out for the Peace Research Institute Oslo, 41 per cent of people questioned in Norway believe it is likely that a new world war will break out within 10 years. Just as alarming, 55 per cent anticipate a new armed conflict in Eu...

PRIO Blogs


Victory for the Civilian Uprising in Bangladesh: What is Next for the ‘Second Independence’?

It was an unprecedented and historic moment that unfolded in Bangladesh on 5 August 2024 when Prime Minister Sheik Hasina hastily fled the country in a military helicopter. The protesters had demonstrated in the streets for several weeks, and that...

PRIO Blogs


Prisoner Exchanges and the Prospects for Peace Talks

The timing of the unprecedented exchange of prisoners between Russia and the West on August 1 remains a difficult question. The final decision was most likely made in the Kremlin. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s red carpet reception of the rele...

Popular Article


Russian intrigues in the Middle East surge

Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor

Popular Article


The Silent Winner of Myanmar’s Northern Conflict

Popular article in The Diplomat

PRIO Blogs


Moscow Seeks to Drive ‘Peace’ Wedge into Trans-Atlantic Unity

Russian President Vladimir Putin has not demonstrated any discernible change over the last few weeks in his maximalist stance on how to end his war in Ukraine. Nevertheless, many other governments and organizations continue to propose ideas and in...

PRIO Blogs


Russian Intrigues in Middle East Surge

On July 24, Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad was summoned to Moscow for a secret meeting in the Kremlin with Russian President Vladimir Putin, the same day that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed a joint session of the US Congress....

Popular Article


Moscow seeks to drive "peace" wedge into trans-Atlantic unity

Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor

Popular Article


Russia seeks to maintain battlefield initiative on the eve of NATO summit

Popular article in Eurasia Daily Monitor

Wednesday, 3 Jul 2024


The Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) releases forecasts from its Prediction Challenge

VIEWS releases forecasts from participating teams to the Prediction Challenge 2023/2024.

PRIO Blogs


Russia Seeks to Maintain Battlefield Initiative on Eve of NATO Summit

The ever-changing battlefield dynamics of Moscow’s war against Ukraine have made it impossible for predictions to be accurately tied to the political calendar. This unpredictability is particularly acute in the lead-up to one of the most critical ...

Monday, 10 Jun 2024


New data shows record number of armed conflicts

Last year saw the highest number of state-based conflicts since 1946. In addition, the past three years were the most violent in the last three decades, according to new conflict trend analysis.

Popular Article


Can high-level diplomacy turn the tide of the Ukraine war?

Popular article in Panorama UIK

PRIO Blogs


Can High-Level Diplomacy Turn the Tide of the Ukraine War?

World politics in the first half of June is set to be enlivened not only by elections in such major powers as India, Mexico and South Africa, but also by a heavy concentration of international summits, conferences and visits. Agendas are rich and ...

Tuesday, 21 May 2024


DIGeMERGE Poster on Digital Emergency Communication in the Nordic Countries

The CHANSE project Digital Emergency Communication (DIGeMERGE) is presenting a poster at the 2024 conference organized by ISCRAM (Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management) in Münster, Germany, 25-29 May 2024.

Report – External Series


Nuclear Brinksmanship in Putin's War: Upping the Ante

Talbott Papers

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